CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-04-23T18:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-04-23T18:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/30248/-1
CME Note: CME visible to the west/southwest in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. It may be associated with an eruption triggered by the M2.9 flare peaking at 2024-04-23T17:44Z from AR 3638, which also may have been associated with CME with ID: 2024-04-23T18:12:00-CME-001. The opening field lines appear to widen at 2024-04-23T17:51Z, which may be associated with this CME. It is analyzed as a separate feature from CME: 2024-04-23T18:12:00-CME-001 due to the difference in speed and apparent separate leading edge. No clear arrival signature seen in real time solar wind data. The closest possible arrival is at 2024-04-26 12:30Z, however it is also not a clear arrival signature.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-04-27T18:28Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 15.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 24.65 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-04-26T17:49Z
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